SHARE:
Evaluating How Child Allowances and Daycare Subsidies Affect Fertility
General Information
Title
Evaluating How Child Allowances and Daycare Subsidies Affect Fertility
Author
Joshua R. Goldstein, Christos Koulovatianos, Jian Li, and Carsten Schröder.
Publication Type
Working paper
Outlet
CFS Working Paper Series
Year
2017
Abstract
We compare the cost effectiveness of two pronatalist policies: (a) child allowances; and (b) daycare subsidies. We pay special attention to estimating how intended fertility (fertility before children are born) responds to these policies. We use two evaluation tools: (i) a dynamic model on fertility, labor supply, outsourced childcare time, parental time, asset accumulation and consumption; and (ii) randomized vignette-survey policy experiments. We implement both tools in the United States and Germany, finding consistent evidence that daycare subsidies are more cost effective. Nevertheless, the required public expenditure to increase fertility to the replacement level might be viewed as prohibitively high.